Political pundits are predicting that there could be fresh elections in Tamilnadu. They are of the opinion that the AIADMK might split and the Assembly could be dissolved for fresh elections. This could be one of the scenarios.
The DMK, Congress and the BJP are all looking at a fresh churning in the southern state in the post-Jayalalithaa scenario in Tamil Nadu politics.
The Supreme Court’s verdict convicting AIADMK leader VK Sasikala has put her ambitions of becoming the chief minister of Tamil Nadu on hold for a decade. But, the political developments that followed – including acting chief minister O Panneerselvam’s expulsion from the party and Edapaddi K Palaniswami’s election as leader of the legislative party – show that she is preparing to run the party’s politics from the jail.
Some others say Panneerselvam might continue with outside support from the DMK. This may not continue for long. Even if Sasikalas group wins the majority it could be for the time being only.
Any arrangement will not continue for long, there is no doubt about it. For the time being, Governor Vidyasagar Rao is adopting the wait and watch game. He is allowing the things to fall in line .
Sasikala appears to have the number of MLAs — at least 120, according to her camp — that is needed for the AIADMK to stay in power. If the flock stays together, the AIADMK still has four-and-a-half year in government.
Much depends on Governor Ch Vidayasagar Rao. If he invites Panneerselvam to prove his majority on the floor of the house, the party could see more desertions from the Sasikala camp.
“If he is able to garner a third of the MLAs of the AIADMK, the DMK could move in to lend outside support to a government led by OPS.
Only fresh elections can be the future of Tamilnadu.
U.Srinivas
Editor
