No one dares to predict the UP election which can defeat all political pundits.
The crucial election battle in Uttar Pradesh ended peacefully. The PM Modi was forced to run around every pillar to Temple for winning UP.
No one can predict a 20 crore state’s voting preferences accurately. UP is , a state where sharp caste, community divisions have voted.People across the country and other parts of the world are eagerly waiting for the results.
The BJP remains as the favorite in majority of the poll predictions. In almost every region, the BJP has a slight edge over its rivals who also have strong pockets of influence.But these are predictions, there people who are betting on Mayawathi also.
There is no Modi wave like 2014 this time, but the prime minister is still the most popular leader across caste and communities except Muslims.
Akhilesh is particularly popular among youth who see him as a face of the future. Law and order is a major concern in urban areas but Akhilesh is rated strongly as a development oriented leader.
Congress is a weak link in the alliance with SP. Rahul Gandhi has been unable to strike a chord with the people of the Hindi heartland.
Mayawati struggled hard to make an impact. Even the Muslim vote has gone to her only in limited areas where the muslim candidate was very strong.
The BJP talks of “sabka saath sabka vikas” in Delhi but on the ground the campaign was polarised in an attempt to create a Hindu-Muslim divide.
The Congress-SP combination has unified the Muslim vote considerably and there is little division in the Muslim vote..
The bickering in the SP has had limited impact on the Yadavs who are sticking by Akhilesh.
The BJP’s core vote among upper castes and traders in urban pockets is intact despite demonetisation .
You can just say it is advantage BJP.
U.Srinivas
Editor
