{"id":29589,"date":"2016-11-01T13:49:24","date_gmt":"2016-11-01T13:49:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/?p=29589"},"modified":"2016-11-01T13:49:24","modified_gmt":"2016-11-01T13:49:24","slug":"hillary-slim-point-behind-donald-trump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/hillary-slim-point-behind-donald-trump\/","title":{"rendered":"Hillary slim point behind Donald Trump"},"content":{"rendered":"

Strong enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has ebbed since the renewal of the FBI\u2019s email investigation.<\/p>\n

While vote preferences have held essentially steady, she\u2019s now a slim point behind Donald Trump — a first since May — in the latest ABC News\/Washington Post tracking poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.<\/p>\n

Forty-six percent of likely voters support Trump in the latest results, with 45 percent for Clinton. Taking it to the decimal for illustrative purposes, a mere .7 of a percentage point divides them. Third-party candidate Gary Johnson has 3 percent, a new low; Jill Stein, 2 percent.<\/p>\n

\"online<\/p>\n

Trump now leads Clinton by 8 points in the share of voters who are very enthusiastic about their choice as of Friday. But, compared to past elections it\u2019s low for both of them \u2013- 53 percent for Trump, 45 percent for Clinton.<\/p>\n

Strong enthusiasm for Clinton has lost 7 points since the start of tracking, especially Friday through Sunday. This is possibly an after-effect of the renewed controversy over her use of a private email server while secretary of state. Trump\u2019s strong enthusiasm has held steady in tracking, which started Oct. 20.<\/p>\n

\"online<\/p>\n

The 1-point Clinton-Trump race overall is well within the survey\u2019s margin of sampling error. Combining the last seven nights \u2013- across which results have been very stable \u2013- the results flip to 46-45 percent, Clinton-Trump, with .4 percentage point gap. Again, it is not a significant difference.<\/p>\n

Either way, the results are exceedingly close. Trump\u2019s +1 is a noteworthy result; he\u2019s led Clinton numerically just once before, +2 in late May (among registered voters in a two-way test), after he clinched the GOP nomination while Clinton was still in a duel with Bernie Sanders in the Democratic race.<\/p>\n

Although the election is close at this point, vote preference results a week out are not necessarily predictive of the final result. Mitt Romney was +1 vs. Barack Obama in comparable tracking poll results in 2012, for example, and John Kerry was +1 vs. George Bush a week out in 2004.<\/p>\n

\"online<\/p>\n

Another look at the data divides the last seven nights of tracking results into red, blue and toss-up states, as designated by the ABC News Political Unit. The results:<\/p>\n

\u2022 In states considered to be strongly for Trump or leaning toward him (with a total of 180 electoral college votes), he leads Clinton by a broad 60-34 percent.<\/p>\n

\u2022 In blue states (with 278 electoral votes), Clinton leads 54-37 percent.<\/p>\n

\u2022 In the five ABC-designated toss-up states (with 80 electoral votes) — Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Utah — voters split 41 percent Clinton to 48 percent Trump. That\u2019s not a significant difference given the 5.5-point error margin at this sample size.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Strong enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has ebbed since the renewal of the FBI\u2019s email investigation. While vote preferences have held essentially steady, she\u2019s now a slim point behind Donald Trump — a first since May — in the latest ABC News\/Washington Post tracking poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. Forty-six percent of likely […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29593,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,3,2],"tags":[258,12296,21,8690,12300,12298,12299,1843,420,10974,12295,12297],"class_list":["post-29589","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nri","category-politicalnews","category-top-stories","tag-america","tag-brazile","tag-campaign","tag-cnn","tag-cnn-reported","tag-cnn-town-hall","tag-debate-question","tag-donald-trump","tag-hillari-clinton","tag-political","tag-presidential-debate-questions","tag-wikileaks"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/160906063242-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-composite-super-tease.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29589","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29589"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29589\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29593"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29589"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29589"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/greattelangaana.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29589"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}